by TheMC5 on Fri Aug 31, 2007 1:33 pm
Well, I'm pretty bored right now, so I figured I might as well post a really long ramble about the Raptors. Enjoy.
Anyway, I've been thinking quite a lot about the Raptors this off-season, and there are few questions I keep coming back to:
How much of the Raptors success last season was the result of playing in a poor division, perhaps the worst division in the NBA last year?
And conversely, how much will playing in a suddenly quite competitive division impact the team's performance?
Did the Raptors get significantly better with Colangelo's off-season acquisitions?
What to do about Forderon (Ford+Calderon for the semi-literate)?
Well, I for one was rather surprised by Toronto's record last season. I watched about 60 Raptor games last year, and they really did not look like a very good team, only an above average team. I also feel that they were able to take full advantage of being above average by playing in the crappiest division in the league. If there was true parity between divisions, I'd say the Raps would have been about a .500 team. So, with the Atlantic all of a sudden looking like perhaps the strongest in the East, it wouldn't surprise me if the Raps do fall to around .500.
However, all that being said, I don't think you can overlook the addition of Jason Kapono to this team. His 3-point shooting will help everyone get better looks. Picture this offensive set, which is apparently what the Raps plan on mostly running this season: Kapono and Parker in the corners, Bargnani at the top of the arc, with Ford and Bosh running a high pick and roll. How are you going to defend that play? Bosh and Ford are both quick enough to blow by most guys at their respective positions, and then if you double, you leave an extremely deadly shooter open for 3. It might seem too simple to work, but this almost exactly what Phoenix does when they can't get points on the break. It works fantastically, and also allows getting a shot off early in the clock. So, there is a distinct possibility as well that Raps actually improve their record if this all pans out.
As for Forderon, Colangelo has all but stated that TJ is the point guard of now and the future for Toronto, and I happen to agree with him. As much as I like Calderon, Ford just has the phisical gifts that you cannot teach or learn. Calderon is good point guard, but his only advantages over Ford are defense and decision making (sometimes), both of which Ford can certainly improve with. Defense usually starts with desire, which TJ has, and decision-making usually comes with experience, which TJ is getting. So, ideally I think you re-sign Calderon if you can get him for a reasonable price, otherwise you trade him.
So in summation, the Raps seem like a bit of wild card this season. You don't really know what to expect of them. If Kapono fits and isn't too much of a defensive liability, and if Il Mago is ready for starting duties, the Raps could easily improve their record. However, if they merely tread water, the improvement of other Atlantic teams could knock Toronto down to battling for a playoff spot.