by Dan's Brain on Wed Mar 09, 2011 12:03 am
These East Standings would probably be ideal for the Bulls.
1. Boston
2. Chicago
3. Miami
4. Orlando
5. Atlanta
6. New York
7. Philly
8. Indiana
(aka, exactly the way the conference is sitting at the moment.)
The 1 or 2 seed probably nets them a sweep in the first round. Against Indiana, they would likely blow them out in the first 2 games at the United Centre, then take the foot off the gas for the next two at Conseco, but still come away with 2 close-ish wins. And Philly would be a tighter series, but not a serious challenge.
Then Miami, you would have to think the Bulls would be favourites here. I think New York can push Miami to 6 or 7 games, but the Heat would ultimately have the firepower to get past them. The LeBron-Carmelo marquee matchup would be a pretty major distraction, as would the return of playoff basketball to the garden. If the Bulls are coming off a likely sweep, and the Heat only have a day or 2 turnaround, then the first couple of games could be brutal for Miami. The Heat probably can't win at the United Centre, and the Bulls would possibly find it difficult to win in Miami, but the homecourt advantage would be the absolute key to this series.
Boston: This is probably for the title, as I don't really believe that anyone in the West can win this year. It was only 2 years ago, that the 7th seeded Bulls pushed the Celtics to 7 games in one of the best first-round series in recent history. This Bulls team is streets ahead of that one, and the Celtics are arguably worse. But you can never underestimate the heart of a Tomjanovich, so the Celtics would likely not let this one go without a fight. The Garnett-Noah duel would just be epically, epically great, and would likely result in almost fights in every game of the series. Last time around, Rondo staked his claim as a legit star. That was the series that really put him on the map. But with the way Derrick Rose has improved across the board since then, you'd think that Rajon would have to improve on that impossibly great series. If he averages a 20-10-20 triple-double, the Celtics win. But it's here that the Celtics would miss Perkins the most. Noah was the Bulls' best player in the last Celtics series, and with no Kendrick Perkins to stop him, Noah could go absolutely nuts. There's no one other than Garnett who can stop the ball in the post. He'd have to carry an impossible load, and would likely see himself in foul trouble fairly regularly.
The Finals: Whoever. Like I said, I think whoever wins out of the Bulls and Boston wins the title. The Bulls can win in L.A., they very nearly did win in San Antonio, and Dallas isn't going to the Finals.
That's probably the ideal run.
Variables: The Celtics/Magic series. I think the Celtics can defend Orlando. It won't be Howard who needs to win the series for the Magic. They'll need Arenas, Nelson, J-Rich and Turkoglu to be on fire for that series.