Just to post some meaningless #s... (all from
www.82games.com)
Team's Stats (opponent's stats)
eFG: FG% with 3 pointers adjusted upwards
ppt: points per 100 possessions
FTA: free throw attempts
Detroit
eFG: .498 (.478)
PPT: 111 (103)
FTA: 23.8 (20.5)
Jumpers: 71%
Close Shots: 21%
Dunk/Tip: 8%
Excellent ppt advantage (tied with SAS for best), great FT advantage. They have two glaring weaknesses: they mostly settle for jumpers, almost as much as Phoenix; and they lost a key player in Ben Wallace. Firing up a lot of jump shots along with losing your best defender are never desirables come post-season.
Miami
eFG: .478 (.440)
ppt: 109 (105)
FTA: 28.2 (27.1)
Jumpers: 60%
Close Shots: 30%
Dunk/Tip: 9%
This is pretty simple...relentless attacking of the basket. Tons of FTA. Only a bit more than half their shot attempts are jump shots...the highest dunk/tip % out of the bunch. It's just a question for stamina and injuries for these guys...but both are real issues.
Dallas
eFG: .496 (.475)
ppt: 112 (105)
FTA: 28.3 (26.4)
Jumpers: 69%
Close Shots: 26%
Dunk/Tip: 6%
Kinda good in most categories, nothing exceptional but no glaring weaknesses. No major off-season changes. Should be Conference Champs and maybe a Finals appearance again.
Phoenix
eFG: .537 (.491)
ppt: 112 (106)
FTA: 18.0 (23.9)
Jumpers: 73%
Close Shots: 22%
Dunk/Tip: 5%
They have the most high-octane offense, but their ppt is not the highest. They also shoot from the outside the most, and have a distinct disadvantage in FTs. But by far they have the most potential to drastically improve with Amare coming back & improved performance from their youngsters.
San Antonio
eFG: .513 (.457)
ppt: 108 (100)
FTA: 23.1 (23.3)
Jumpers: 65%
Close Shots: 31%
Dunk/Tip: 5%
They were pretty good to begin with but IMO had the worst off-season. Lost their starting & backup Center, Duncan & Finley are a year older. I never thought i'd see the day when Seattle has better Centers than San Antonio.
Just from a trends & age point of view, by next year I have to believe the Suns will dominate. All that relies on Amare's legs, but there's a good chance he'll come back 90% or better. And there's a 100% chance that every other team has suffered through 82 more games of wear & tear.