by Eugene on Mon Mar 03, 2003 12:58 pm
This is an issue that has been bothering me for quite some time now. Certainly, there are several players who've come straight out of high school and have grown into premier players. In fact, 3 of the top 10 players have come out of high school. And that certainly makes a strong case for players making the jump after their high school careers.
Before I go on, let me say right now, I believe all players should have at least 1 to 2 years of college experience.
While 3 of the top 10 players in the league have come out of high school, that fact is misleading. Consider this: 3 of the top 10 have not gone through college, then 7 of the top 10 then have gone through college.
Also, with the exception of Jermaine O'neal, Amare Stoudamire, and the aforementioned 3 (KG, Kobe, T-Mac), none of the other high schoolers are good enough to be in the league. A case could be made for Tyson Chandler and Eddy Curry, but then again, they are playing for the Chicago Bulls. Darius Miles can jump out of the gym, but that's about all he can do. Has anybody even heard anything about Qyntel Woods? I haven't either, which is why I had to look him up on NBA.com. Since I looked up his stats, it reads -- 2.3 ppg, 6 mpg in 34 games.
In fact, other than O'neal, Stoudamire, KG, Kobe, T-Mac, none of these guys would have made a team in the 80's to early 90's. That says a lot about the condition of the NBA, but that's another story altogether.
Now, are they bad players? Right now, yes. In a couple of years? Maybe. In some cases, probably. But then the question becomes, why draft them now? Why not let them learn the game in college? Gain more experience and maturity?
Because no one wants to make the mistake of passing up a Kobe Bryant or a Tracy McGrady. Every high schooler drafted has been solely based on their potential to be good. They had not actually done anything significant -- at least not against anyone of consequence. They had not proved themselves of being successful in college, where the training regimen and game schedule become more demanding. Simply, they have not proved ready to contribute or even participate in the NBA.
The scouting report on Lebron James? NBA-ready body. His mind? We hear that he's a 3.5 GPA student. But does that necessarily translate into being able to cope with the pressures of a 82-game season?
You simply cannot expect an 18-year old to deal with the mental stresses of playing in the league. Most of them don't go to winning teams anyway, because they go so early in the draft. They aren't ready to make an impact for a losing team. So, the losses compound the pressure. The coach begins to lose faith. The rookie then loses confidence. Kobe played with the Lakers, a team that had Eddie Jones, Van Exel, and Shaq already on the roster. He was able to flourish in a positive environment. And he worked like a madman during the off season, which translated into his current success. KG had great size. He got Marbury the next season. The T'Wolves at the time also had Googs and a number of impact veterans. T-Mac only just blew up 3 or 4 seasons ago. Jermain O'neal was buried in Portland before being traded to Indy, where he has only begun to bloom last season. For a high schooler to go to a losing franchise, like Washington, like Chicago, and now Cleveland (presumably) is simply devastating. They don't have the tools initially to cope with the NBA (tools they would have gotten through sufficient college experience) and they don't get a chance to learn them.
Also, to note, only 2 of the last 8 high schoolers are guards. Size is also a big factor. But, not having played in college where the game demands you to develop a real post up game (not merely a drop-step) the players are mobile but completely lost in the post (and this totally baffles me -- as a big man, why wouldn't have an arsenal of post moves? I mean, even me, a guard when I play, have a number of moves including turnaround jumpers, fadeaways, drop steps, pump fake step through, up and under. Why can't big men actually work on post moves? Why aren't all the big men in the league making a commitment to going to Pete Newell's big man camp? This frustrates me. I'm going to make a post about this later, be warned).
These players most likely will be good in the future. But they could be better now, having been through college. They could've been better equipped to play in the league, both physically and mentally.
And regardless of what the perception may be, Jay Williams, Boozer, Dunleavy, Dixon, are all better players for having played through college and having won NCAA Championships. And there's never declaring too late. Never. The worst thing is dropping to a lower draft position, where they'll end up playing for a better team anyway.
All the best,
Eugene
The task of the artist is to translate for us the essence of things we take for granted.