Noah, Durant are average high picks. Those kind of players come every year.
Tell me the name of a similar player at Durants level in each of the last 5 drafts.
Heres my list:
2006 - None
2005 - None
2004 - None
2003 - Carmelo Anthony, LeBron James
2002 - None
Here is definitely not an "average" top pick. Carmelo Anthony took the NCAA by storm as a freshman at Syracuse averaging 22/10/2 in his only year. Durant is averaging 24/11/2 in his first season to date. How is that average?
Durant has come in as a freshman and down right manhandled every team thrown against him bar Villanova and LSU. He can do everything out there on the floor, block shots, shoot the three, rebound - you name it.
Noah is a good college player. However, unless he seriously bulks up and gets a jumpshot, he won't be very good in the NBA. I would compare him to Tyson Chandler.
As for Durant, think a taller Tracy McGrady or Kevin Garnett with a three point shot.
He has incredible potential. Just think if he was to stay to his senior year what type of numbers he would be putting up.
Durant won't be the first pick though. Oden is still very raw offensively yet still puts up good numbers and is also an extremely good defender and rebounder. Right now Durant is the better player, and they both have around the same potential, it's just the NBA is so thin when it comes to centers no team will want to pass up the opportunity to grab the next great center.
I also read somewhere about Texas' great freshman saying they may stay another season so they can have a very good shot at winning a championship. I haven't found the article again but I highly doubt Kevin will stay another year (although I wish he did).
EDIT: Just read the article in the first post (the 10 things about each player one) and the author had some pretty good points:
The last big guy to hit the draft anywhere close to being as refined a perimeter scorer as Durant was Glenn Robinson in 1994. And Durant has more range and doesn't share Big Dog's allergy to defense.
Durant's averaging more rebounds -- playing small forward -- than is Oden, who rarely strays more than eight feet from the basket. Even though Durant plays more minutes than Oden and Oden's playing without his good hand, that's a telling stat.