Vins15 wrote:i think the rookies draft is not as solid as few years ago..i mean look at the 2002 draft..it wasn't as solid as the draft had like 10-6 years ago..
I kind of agree, and kind of disagree.
The infatuation with potential has seen teams draft projects rather than players. Guys who may become special players down the road. Teams don't seem to be looking for guys who can make an immediate impact - or maybe those players simply aren't coming along.
Rookies certainly don't get the opportunities that older generations of players did. Michael Jordan's college career didn't offer an accurate prediction of how he'd fare in NBA competition. Magic Johnson was great in high school and college, but he was still unproven in the NBA when he was drafted. Larry Bird was drafted 6th overall, Isiah Thomas was second to Mark Aguirre (who was by no means a bad player). All were given the opportunity to show what they could do, and they all had impressive rookie seasons.
A lot of players these days are probably entering the NBA a little too early. Potential has a lot to answer for. People see KG, Kobe and T-Mac producing All-Star numbers despite having never played college ball, and figure that most any high school player has the same potential. Give them a couple of seasons and they'll become the next Moses Malone/young Shawn Kemp/KG/Kobe/T-Mac. Not necessarily true.
And even if they are capable of decent numbers, they may not get the minutes. These days, no team is going to turn the offense over to a rookie, as they did with Michael Jordan. They're not going to be confident in a rookie running the ballclub as Isiah and Magic did. They're not going to be amazed by a player's talents as they were with Larry Legend, because they'll be playing limited minutes behind veterans.
The problem as I see it: teams are too patient when it comes to potential. Let's see if potential can be reached earlier, as it was with MJ, Magic and Larry. At the same time, there are few players with the potential to play like seasoned veterans straight away. Some players shouldn't be too quick to jump to the NBA, and NBA teams should realise that all potential stars are also potential busts.
The solution? The right players have to come along at the right time, and find themselves in the right situation. Coaches and GMs should recognise this, and give those players the opportunity to be great.