COLLEGIATES STILL RULE THE DRAFT - PART FOUR
By 'Tim Logler'
NLSC Insider
Updated: June 20, 2006, 11.12 AM ET --
In my final pre-draft coverage, I move down to the US Southeast, where we see one of the stronger regions for college basketball. Whether it's a lightening quick swingman, a deadly-eyed marksmen or a steady big man, this region is once again stacked.
RODNEY CARNEY
Rodney Carney was penned in as a potential Top 10 pick at the beginning of the season. If you had told me that he would still be a lock in the Top 10 after coming off the Tigers' bench in a 6th man role, I'd call you crazy, but that's exactly what has happenned. Carney struggled at the start of the season & as a starter & got moved to the bench. Once this happenned, the pressure seemed to have lifted & he pushed his game to new heights. Carney is a superb athlete whose explosiveness is one of the best in all of college basketball. Carney was actually a sprinter & state champion high jumper in high school, so you can just imagine the sort of athleticism this kid has. Usually athletes of his calibre bolt to the NBA early, but Carney's game developed a little slower & he made the wise choice to stick at Memphis for the whole college experience. Carney has the ability to take over games offensively & is a much-improved shooter from long range. Playing for former NBA coach John Calipari, Carney has become a pesky defender who uses his supreme athleticism to his advantage. He has great potential & his game should be well suited for the NBA. Carney was a college SF, but he'll likely play more as a SG in the NBA. He therefore will need to work on his perimeter game & ball-handling abilities so he doesn't get exposed by stronger, faster, smarter NBA defenders. After discussions with numerous NBA scouts, Rodney Carney is a lock in the Top 10 selections, & is likely going to go in the 6-10 range.
Best Case Scenario - Rich man's Derek Anderson
Worst Case Scenario - Qyntel Woods
Most Likely Scenario - Derek Anderson (with good knees)
RONNIE BREWER
Much like Mardy Collins, Ronnie Brewer is a legit 6'7" combo guard who can play the PG position, but will probably play more as a SG in the NBA. Brewer is a very good athlete, has a very good first step, good speed & leaping ability. Much like the Mavs' Marquis Daniels, Brewer should have no problems handling playing anywhere from the 1 to 3. Brewer has excellent ball-handling skills which help him create his own shot, either on the drive or on the pull-up jumper from mid or long range. He also has good court vision & has no problems giving the ball up to teammates in a better position than himself. Brewer generally guards the opposing team's best perimeter player & could turn into a very good shut-down defender in the NBA. Brewer isn't a pure shooter & never will be, he is a rhythm shooter like Lebron James & Dwayne Wade, & is therefore streaky. Ronnie comes from good basketball bloodlines as his father Ron Brewer was drafted 7th in the 1978 NBA Draft & had an 8 year career where he averaged 11ppg. A lock in the middle of the lottery, I expect Ronnie to be even more successful than his father's solid career. Definitely a top prospect this year.
Best Case Scenario - Andre Iguodala
Worst Case Scenario - Marquis Daniels
Most Likely Scenario - Marquis Daniels meets Andre Iguodala
J.J. REDICK
Not much needs to be said about this guy. He's from one of the top college programs ever in Duke & Coach K. He edged out Gonzaga's Adam Morrison for the National Player of the Year Award. He's overcome every doubter who labelled him as a one-dimensional shooter as he led a very inexperienced & relatively weak Duke squad to the Final Four. Redick entered Duke as a freshman spot-up shooter. He left Duke as a senior who led from the front. He's no longer a spot-up shooter, he's a scorer & has learnt to use his skills & his teammates to his best advantage. Give this guy an inch & he'll take a dagger & stick it right in your heart. Like Morrison, the kid's got ticker that belies his athleticism & talent. Redick will enter the league as an undersized SG at 6'4", but his intangibles go beyond that. He will need to improve his ball-handling & lead guard skills to move his game to another level, but seeing the other leaps & bounds in his game, I believe he can do it. Without all the attention that he sees every game for Duke, he should have more freedom as a cold-blooded marksman. Although the question is, who is this guy gonna guard. Can you really see him sticking with Kobe, or even Smush for that matter? I hope for his sake that he lands on a team with good team defense to help him out. With such a lack of pure shooters in the league these days, guys like J.J. Redick are coveted, despite their limitations. Redick will be snapped up somewhere in the late lottery, & I can't see him falling below the top 15. J.J. can thank Coach K for that.
Best Case Scenario - Jeff Hornacek (with the fire of Drazen Petrovic)
Worst Case Scenario - Trajan Langdon meets Matt Maloney
Most Likely Scenario - Tim Legler (on steroids) meets Voshon Lenard
SEVERIN HARDING - PF, 6'9", 228lbs, Arkansas-Little Rock, Sr (TOP 15 PICK)
You're probably asking who the last 1st Rounder to come out of Arkansas-Little Rock was. Jerry West surprised everyone by selecting Derek Fisher late in the 1st Round for the Los Angeles Lakers. Fisher was a surprising success. Any success that Severin Harding has in the NBA will not be as surprising. Harding is a top 15 prospect who should be snapped up in the late lottery by a fringe playoff team in need of another forward. Harding has superstar potential written all over him, but you can never know with these small school kids. Whilst he played mostly as a PF & C in college, Harding will be a combo forward in the pros. He strong as an ox so handling other PF's will not be a problem. Harding has got an inside-outside game & does a bit of everything. Harding is this year's Danny Granger of the draft, a jack-of-all trades, master-of-none type player. He could slide like Granger did, but it only takes one team to full in love & he cracks the top 10. With all the positives that this kid has, there are a lot of doubters who say the kid just doesn't have the speed & athleticism to stick with a lot of NBA forwards. He does have heart though & you can't take that away. His potential alone should be enough to convince teams to snap him up.
Best Case Scenario - Corliss Williamson (in his prime) meets Danny Granger
Worst Case Scenario - Justin Reed
Most Likely Scenario - Ryan Gomes meets Danny Granger
SHELDEN WILLIAMS
A no-nonsense banger who gets the job done at both ends of the court & on the glass. What more do you want from your PF? Williams was a key reason for the Blue Devil's deep NCAA Tournament run as he used his strength, work ethic & fundamentals to dominate & shut down opposing team's big men. Williams would like be a garbage man type player for the team that selects him & will not have plays run for him, but he is more than comfortable with that role. Many say he is too mechanical & rigid, but his work ethic & character should endear himself to teams picking in the late lottery. I have him as a late lottery to mid-1st Round selection.
Best Case Scenario - Carlos Boozer (Cavs' version)
Worst Case Scenario - Brian Grant (Suns' version)
Most Likely Scenario - Antonio Davis
MAX McGRADY - SG/PG, 6'2", 208lbs, Oklahoma State, Sr (TOP 20 PICK)
First off, no, Max McGrady is no relation to Rockets' superstar Tracy McGrady, but he sure gets up like him. McGrady is your typical combo guard of today, he has a scorer's mentality, he's too undersized to play SG, but doesn't have pure PG skills to lead a team. He's not a 1 or 2, he's a guard who can flat-out play. McGrady can score from anywhere on the court, although he seems to struggle in the paint finishing. He has NBA range on his 3-ball, & can jump out of the gym & should definitely be considered for next year's Slam Dunk Contest. He's an absolute ballhawk, as are most prospects who come out of Oklahoma State. He's got pretty good ball-handling skills which suggest he shouldn't have a problem handling some of the PG's responsibilities, but his passing skills & court vision are just average at the moment. He's fast, but not overly quick. He's today's breed of ballers & maybe that's the problem. He's a hard read. Will he be the next Steve Francis or the next Dee Brown or the next Dajuan Wagner? The answer for that question will take a few years, & by then, who knows if he will still be on the same league, let alone the same team. But he has talent & someone will pick him. At the moment, he'll get snapped up somewhere in the middle of the 1st Round, but could slide up or down depending on what happens in the next week.
Best Case Scenario - Steve Francis
Worst Case Scenario - Dajuan Wagner meets Fred Jones
Most Likely Scenario - Dee Brown
CAMERON RAND - PG, 6'0", 198lbs, Evansville, Sr (TOP 20 PICK)
Cameron Rand, nicknamed 'Random Cam' by his teammates, was a 5-year senior that led his Aces to some of its better years whilst he was at the helm. Rand is a pure PG with high basketball IQ & is your typical player's coach. He shoots the ball very well & defends it just as well. If it wasn't for his lack of speed & quickness, Rand would have to be considered at least a mid-lottery level talent in such a weak PG draft. With his excellent, untapped potential, the sky is the limit for 'Random Cam'. Look for Rand to be picked up somewhere in the middle of the 1st Round, but don't be surprised if he slides a little & becomes one of the steals of the draft.
Best Case Scenario - Jamaal Tinsley meets Scott Skiles
Worst Case Scenario - Anthony Johnson
Most Likely Scenario - Derek Fisher
This finalises my coverage of the college's finest draft prospects for 2006. We're under a week away from the 2006 Draft where dreams will be made & shattered in the space of one night. Don't forget to tune in, as per usual, it should be a dandy.