
(1) Houston Rockets vs. (5) San Antonio SpursCoincidentally, the Big Three Texas Giants remain in the hunt for an NBA title, and there is a guarantee that at least one will advance to the next round. The Houston Rockets and the San Antonio Spurs, two teams that know each other very well due to the fact that they play each other four times a season, and compete with one another for that Southwest Division title.
It was just two seasons ago that the Rockets had made it this far, but a (literally) big turn of events led to their elimination, the injury to big man
Yao Ming. Now, the Rockets find themselves back in the second round, and are in dire hope that history does not repeat itself. Meanwhile, the Spurs made it this far last season, but were dismantled at the hands of the Phoenix Suns, ending in a sweep. And just like last season, the Spurs are this far into the playoffs because of an upset in the first round. Last season, San Antonio eliminated the second-seeded Dallas Mavericks in six games, and this season, they eliminated the defending champions the Los Angeles Lakers in six games and now are looking to make it much farther than they did last season.
It is arguable that San Antonio's championship window is closing; their three best players are either aging,
Tim Duncan and
Manu Ginobili, or could be on the way out like
Tony Parker. Meanwhile, Houston's championship window closed completely on them last season, but now it seems to be as open as back in 94-95;
Kevin Martin has reached his prime, and he continues to improve with every game. Martin receives help from all of his teammates,
Luis Scola,
Aaron Brooks,
Shane Battier,
Kyle Lowry, and the rest of the crew. But more importantly,
Yao Ming is as healthy as he's been since two years ago. The Great Wall of China hasn't had a single trace of an injury this season, and for the Rockets to have a legitimate chance at the NBA title, the big man will have to remain healthy.
Keys to the SeriesA huge key again, as stated above, is Yao's health. The big man did relatively well against the Clippers, still shooting the ball at well over 60% from the field like in the regular season. Look for the Rockets to take advantage of the huge size and defensive mismatch he has over San Antonio's bigs;
DeJuan Blair is starting at the center spot, while
Tiago Splitter is starting at the four. Blair is only 6'6", exactly a foot shorter than Yao, and Splitter is just a rookie that is still getting used to the physicality of the NBA game. Yao should have his way down low against these guys, just like he did against the Los Angeles Clippers. Because of the mismatches, look for the Spurs to bring the double-team, and Yao, one of the best passing big men in the league right now, should have no problem finding someone open for a clean look. And yes, I'm forgetting San Antonio's premiere big man
Tim Duncan. Duncan only played 69 games in the regular season, as he suffered a broken foot near the end of the regular season. Duncan's absence hurts the Spurs in so many ways. Duncan is a legitimate defender against Yao, and is their defensive anchor and arguably the best defender in the past decade. Without Duncan, there is no legitimate inside presence for the Spurs to rely on as they have had the past 12 years.
The matchup to watch is
Kevin Martin vs.
Manu Ginobili. Against the Clippers, Martin did not get to face off against
Eric Gordon due to the wrist injury he suffered in Game 1, but Ginobili is a much more durable and tougher player that Martin will have his hands full. A bit of pressure will probably be taken off of Martin though, as
Shane Battier has stated he wants to guard Ginobili. Martin and Ginobili are well-known for their scoring, and of course, flopping their way to the foul line.
In the regular season, and more often in the first round against the Clippers, Martin used the new addition to his offensive arsenal, the post game, to maneuver his way to the paint and get a healthy diet of points, taking advantage of LA's especially smaller guards. Look for Martin to post up the smaller Ginobili and especially
George Hill off the bench to create more scoring opportunities. With no Duncan to block or alter shots, Martin's penetration to the rim becomes much, much easier. Using his lightning-quick speed, he'll have no problem scoring and finishing close to the hoop.
Meanwhile, the Spurs have taken a new approach to their offense and played more up tempo this season. With a small lineup, that's what they'll most likely go to, so expect many high scoring games this series. The one leading the way is Ginobili. His shooting and penetration ability will be hard to defend, and he's adept at finishing in traffic. Without Duncan, Ginobili will have to keep San Antonio alive with his abilities in scoring, as he did in the regular season. He averaged 21.6 points, 5.6 rebounds, and 5.6 assists in the regular season, and really took it to the Lakers in the first round. Ultimately, how he does in the series will dictate whether the Spurs can make it to the Conference Finals or not.
To sum it up, both teams are hungry and desperate in getting to the next round, one team to solidify a decade or so of dominance and winning championships, another to potentially start a dynasty of their own. You can expect to see either some up tempo basketball in some games, and others which become defensive grinds. How the Rockets play down low and
Kevin Martin's efficiency will dictate if they win the series or not, and how the Spurs' backcourt of
Manu Ginobili and
Tony Parker play their game will dictate if the Spurs win the series. Last but not least, both teams are deep; they have excellent bench players that can light up the scoreboard in a hurry. Bench points will most likely be another key to the series.
Regular Season SeriesNovember 6th, 2010 - HOU @ SAS - 96-98
Manu Ginobili led a huge fourth quarter comeback to edge the Rockets by two. Ginobili had 36 points, 9 assists, and 7 rebounds shooting 12/20 from the field and 4/7 from downtown.
Tim Duncan had a big time double-double of 26 points and 17 rebounds and he shot 9/16 from the field. For the Rockets,
Kevin Martin had 26 points and 3 rebounds, shooting 7/15 from the field, 3/6 from beyond the arc, and 9/11 from the charity stripe.
Yao Ming added 18 points, 10 rebounds and
Aaron Brooks chipped in 16 points, 5 assists, and 3 rebounds.
January 29, 2011 - HOU @ SAS - 104-105Turnovers were a key in this game. The Rockets allowed the Spurs to rob them 12 times, and were also not shooting very well in the first half.
Kevin Martin scored 34 points in frustration, and led a rally to come back from 13 points. To tie the game, Martin meant to take a three, but he had a toe barely on the line which counted as a two, and the Rockets fell short of a 13-point comeback and forcing overtime. Along with his 34 points, Martin had 3 rebounds, 2 assists, and 2 steals, shooting 15/24 from the field.
Luis Scola had 18 points and 5 rebounds, and
Yao Ming chipped in a double-double of 12 points and 10 rebounds, with 3 blocks added. For the Spurs,
Tim Duncan was the high man with 29 points, and 9 rebounds, shooting 13/19 from the field.
Manu Ginobili struggled with 20 points shooting just 8/23 from the field.
Tony Parker added 19 points and 15 assists, and
George Hill scored 17 points off the bench.
March 12, 2011 - SAS @ HOU - 102-106Like the last game, turnovers played a key factor, but the Spurs payed the price for them this time. The Spurs were able to come back from double-digits, but poor offensive execution in the dying minutes of the fourth killed them.
Tony Parker had six turnovers, but still had 11 points and 16 assists.
Kevin Martin led the Rockets with 26 points and 6 rebounds, with
Luis Scola trailing him with 18 points and 6 rebounds.
Yao Ming contributed 15 points and 5 rebounds, adding 3 rejections as well. For the Spurs,
Manu Ginobili had 27 points, 5 rebounds, 5 assists, and shot 11/25 from the field, with 5 triples.
Tim Duncan had 19 points and 10 rebounds.
April 1, 2011 - SAS @ HOU - 99-106Despite
Manu Ginobili's 41 points, the Spurs fell short of a victory without
Tim Duncan who suffered a broken foot the prior game against the Boston Celtics. Houston destroyed the Spurs in the paint as they won that battle 56-38.
Kevin Martin scored 9 of his 29 in the final minutes of the fourth to put them away. Martin had 29 points, 4 rebounds, and 2 assists shooting 11/17 from the field.
Aaron Brooks added 18 points and 5 assists, while
Luis Scola added 17 points and 7 rebounds. Ginobili had 41 points and 7 rebounds, and
Tony Parker had 18 points and 17 assists. Despite missing Duncan, the Spurs outrebounded the Rockets 52-45.
Starting Lineups
