by Vicestab on Mon Jun 25, 2012 2:42 am
I made a quick research which came out with interesting results...
Basically potential seems dynamic.
From season to season, I saw Mcgee evolving not only his overall but also his potential, from 79 to 83 to 85. His overall peeked at 82 and stoped.
Crawford started 67 overall with 76 potential, he went on to be a 80+ overall with 85 potential.
Ibaka was 75 overall with 70 potential, evolved marginally to a 77 overall with 71 potential, then started to drop stats at like 26 years old.
Kevin Love, 81 overall 82 potential, became 83 overall 83 potential. Pretty much didn't evolve afterwards.
In general I see a corelation between the potential (in edit mode) and the potential rating. So it does seem that the potential is never really a fixed value, but varies with time. The odd cases must be a bug indeed.
Also seems like potential, as you said, tells you more about how much the player evolves and not so much about the "rating cap". However, players with a potential that is equal or worse than your current ability seems to handicap your player in progression as seen by Kevin and Ibaka.
Players with much better potential than overall seem to have a much more steady and reliable progression as seen by Crawford and Mcgee, specially because the overall grows with the potential, meaning the overall-potential gap stays positive.